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Fibonacci Fans

November 21st, 2007 @ 1:47 am by Eugene Teplitsky

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This is a video summary of the Live Forex Trading Room session on November 20, 2007.

Today’s Summary, by Sunil Mangwani:

Its not necessarily every day that we get into a trade, nor do we need to enter a trade every day. We also have our share of losses. But for us, as long as we don’t have any formed confirmations based on technicals, we don’t enter into at trade. We spend the entire day here in the Live Trading Room analyzing the trades and different currencies using different tools to determine which phase of the price movement we are in.

Case in point, EUR/USD – for a couple of days now we have been looking for a Triangle Formation breakout on the H4 charts. We can see that the breakout took place to the upside – but the most important part, more so than the trade itself, is that we – and our members – are prepared. No matter which direction the breakout takes place in, we are ready with fixed targets, based on certain principles of Fibonacci Expansions which we use for targeting our Triangle setups. Read the rest of this entry »

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November 8th, 2007 @ 2:01 am by Eugene Teplitsky

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This is a video summary of the Live Forex Trading Room session on November 7, 2007.

Today’s Summary, by Sunil Mangwani:

Out of intraday trade setups today, we traded just one. The Yen pairs were going crazy in the Asian session, and have been dropping like a stone. We managed to catch the GBP/JPY – and did not anticipate such a large move.

The Divergence was certainly there – a Bearish Divergence. We entered our Short trade based on our Fibonacci Fan levels, and price went far beyond the expected target levels. We did not ride the price all the way down, however. This trade was a good example in the room of the effectiveness of Fibonacci Fans in general, and how to use them. Read the rest of this entry »

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November 7th, 2007 @ 1:08 am by Eugene Teplitsky

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This is a video summary of the Live Forex Trading Room session on November 6, 2007.

Today’s Summary, by Sunil Mangwani:

There was one intraday trade taken today which went off very well. I would like to concentrate on this trade today and the process which gave us the necessary confirmations to enter the market correctly.

It was a Yen pair on which we traded, but thats not how the trade started out. Lets have a look at the sort of correlations we were looking for.

We started off analyzing the EUR/USD. This pair has been in a bullish intraday phase, and we plotted some 1-2-3 Formations and applied our Fibonacci Expansions. Based on the Expansions, we knew that a certain level has yet to be satisfied. We were thus bullish on the EUR/USD, expecting it to go up. Read the rest of this entry »

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November 1st, 2007 @ 12:48 am by Eugene Teplitsky

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This is a video summary of the Live Forex Trading Room session on October 30, 2007.

Today’s Summary, by Sunil Mangwani:

There were a couple of intraday trades today, which we will go over before following up on the long term trades which we are into up to now.

On the GBP/CHF  we identified a Bearish Divergence, which contributed to a Short trade, as pointed out by one of our members. The price made higher highs, stochastics made lower highs, and the lower high on the stochastic was quite below the overbought level of 80. This means the momentum has been decreasing in this rally of price which gave us the second high. This signifies a change of trend. This was a nice divergence, and we went in according to our divergence trading rules.

We plotted our Fibonacci Fans, and also used other fib projections to get our targets for a technically correct and profitable trade. Read the rest of this entry »

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October 26th, 2007 @ 1:51 am by Eugene Teplitsky

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This is a video summary of the Live Forex Trading Room session on October 25, 2007.

Today’s Summary, by Sunil Mangwani:

Lets start with one of the trades we were following since yesterday’s recap – the GBP/CHF on 30 min timeframe. The trigger was a Bearish Divergence. Price made higher highs, while stochastics were giving lower highs. We consider this an aggressive “Class A” divergence. The entry for this trade was determined by certain Fibonacci Retracements, and price did go down beyond our target of 2.3940.

We also use the Andrew’s Pitchfork in different ways to confirm the entry. In this case, the price broke through the midline of the APF, and came back to retest it as a resistance. This is another strong confirmation that a downtrend is in progress. In our room we do like to twist around the technical tools available to give us better results.

Lets go over an intraday trade we ended up taking today. The GBP/JPY, one of the most popular pairs in our room, had a Long trade, though the extent was not too large. As I always say, its the technique and methodology which is always more important than the result. Read the rest of this entry »

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October 25th, 2007 @ 1:32 am by Eugene Teplitsky

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This is a video summary of the Live Forex Trading Room session on October 24, 2007.

Today’s Summary, by Sunil Mangwani:

As I always say, its the procedures and technique that are more important than the result of a trade. I know we are all here to trade and win, but ultimately its the procedure that counts more – how you go into the trade, how you analyze it, how you plan your exit. We’ll go over a few setups from today and the techniques which we used to analyze them.

Lets start off with one of the setups we managed to catch in time that is going so far in our favor.
On the GBP/CHF we were looking at a Regular Bearish Divergence, with price making higher highs, and stochastics lower highs. Based on our procedure we calculate our targets using Fibonacci projections on the last move down. So far its on a pause, but expect further moves down. Read the rest of this entry »

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October 24th, 2007 @ 1:44 am by Eugene Teplitsky

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This is a video summary of the Live Forex Trading Room session on October 23, 2007.

Today’s Summary, by Sunil Mangwani:

No trades today, just observing the markets after the large moves of Monday’s open, and waiting for the currencies to recover and gain some technicals to let us enter into new trades.

Looking at the GBP/USD, the pair recovered – and the recovery was quite amazing, to say the least. After the large drop on Monday, it recovered almost the entire move, and while we were expecting a recovery, we did not expect quite so much of it. Read the rest of this entry »

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October 17th, 2007 @ 12:08 am by Eugene Teplitsky

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This is a video summary of the Live Forex Trading Room session on October 16, 2007.

Today’s Summary, by Sunil Mangwani:

As I have mentioned often – its not the trade that is important, it is the method, and the tools you use to analyze your trade. We have an agenda here in the Live Trading Room – to train our members to analyze the markets in the correct fashion. Once you can do that, you are well set on your way, and correct trades should follow.

Lets jump straight into the intraday activity of today’s session.

We have been following the USD/JPY at a longer timeframe, and having been Long on a swing trade, we still expect the price to go further up. Today on an intraday basis we had entered into a Short trade. When you have a trade which is against the main trend, but you have sufficient confirmations, there is no harm in taking it.

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